[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 280942
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-291000-
INDEPENDENCE-CONWAY-FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SEARCY-SCOTT-PIKE-
PERRY-JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-HOT SPRING-GRANT-IZARD-NEWTON-DALLAS-
CLEVELAND-YELL-CALHOUN-OUACHITA-DESHA-LINCOLN-DREW-BRADLEY-
JACKSON-BAXTER-MARION-SHARP-GARLAND-BOONE-MONTGOMERY-POLK-SALINE-
CLEBURNE-LONOKE-PULASKI-MONROE-PRAIRIE-STONE-JOHNSON-VAN BUREN-
LOGAN-CLARK-FULTON-POPE-
500 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL AND WEST TEXAS WILL BEGIN 
MOVING BACK TO THE NORTH TONIGHT. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE 
AREA...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING POSSIBLE BY THIS 
EVENING. AT THIS TIME...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. 

DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE 
NEXT WEEK. THE WARM FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS ON SUNDAY...WITH 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
BE MOST LIKELY OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF ARKANSAS SUNDAY MORNING...
AND OVER THE NORTHERN HALF SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY 
BECOME STRONG...AND A FEW COULD REACH SEVERE LIMITS. IF ANY STORMS 
WERE TO BECOME SEVERE...THE PRIMARY THREAT WOULD BE LARGE HAIL AND 
DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS. 

ALSO...DUE TO HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE ATMOSPHERE...AND 
RELATIVELY WEAK WINDS IN THE LOW AND MID LEVELS...RAINFALL MAY BE 
LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES. THIS WEAK LOW AND MID-LEVEL FLOW IS 
CONDUCIVE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE OVER THE SAME 
GENERAL AREAS. THUS...LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY BECOME A PROBLEM. 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND 
MONDAY...AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS...AND 
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO WESTERN 
ARKANSAS. ONCE AGAIN...ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT OUT OF 
THE QUESTION...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WHICH IS 
EXPECTED TO STALL OUT IN THE VICINITY OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS. 
HOWEVER...THE GREATER CONCERN WILL BE INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. 

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO ARKANSAS BY MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THE 
BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT NEAR SOUTHERN ARKANSAS BY TUESDAY. 
THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AS 
SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS MOVE ACROSS...AND INTERACT WITH THE 
BOUNDARY. 

AT THIS TIME...THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER POTENTIAL BEYOND MONDAY IS 
QUITE UNCERTAIN. THE FORECAST COULD AND MAY VERY WELL CHANGE 
SIGNIFICANTLY BETWEEN NOW AND THEN. TO STAY INFORMED...MONITOR THE 
LATEST FORECASTS...STATEMENTS...AND OUTLOOKS FOR YOUR LOCAL AREA 
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT. 

&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE 
VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

$$

73,
Glenn