[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 270953
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-281000-
INDEPENDENCE-CONWAY-FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SEARCY-SCOTT-PIKE-
PERRY-JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-HOT SPRING-GRANT-IZARD-NEWTON-DALLAS-
CLEVELAND-YELL-CALHOUN-OUACHITA-DESHA-LINCOLN-DREW-BRADLEY-
JACKSON-BAXTER-MARION-SHARP-GARLAND-BOONE-MONTGOMERY-POLK-SALINE-
CLEBURNE-LONOKE-PULASKI-MONROE-PRAIRIE-STONE-JOHNSON-VAN BUREN-
LOGAN-CLARK-FULTON-POPE-
500 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH AND OUT OF ARKANSAS TODAY. AN
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL PASS THROUGH THE STATE...AND WILL ALLOW
FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT.
THE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.

DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL OUT TO THE SOUTH OF ARKANSAS...
AND THEN WILL BEGIN TO MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT
SATURDAY NIGHT. AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL
APPROACH THE AREA...AND WILL INTERACT WITH THE SURFACE BOUNDARY.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME LIKELY BY LATE SUNDAY 
AFTERNOON OR EARLY SUNDAY EVENING. 

AT THIS TIME...THERE APPEARS TO BE A POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TO
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER ABOUT THE NORTHWEST THIRD OF
ARKANSAS ON SUNDAY NIGHT. IF ANY STORMS WERE TO BECOME STRONG
DURING THIS TIME...THE PRIMARY CONCERN WOULD BE DAMAGING WIND OR
LARGE HAIL. 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...AS ANOTHER
UPPER SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS ARKANSAS...AND A COLD FRONT AND
STRENGTHENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACH FROM TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA. THE FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS ON MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT. DUE TO HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE ATMOSPHERE...AND
RELATIVELY WEAK WIND FLOW IN THE LOWER AND MID LEVELS...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OCCUR WITH SOME OF THE STORMS...PARTICULARLY ON
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. LOCALIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS MAY OCCUR...
PARTICULARLY IF STORMS DEVELOP AND MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS.
ALSO...ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE
QUESTION. 

THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF ARKANSAS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER
SYSTEM MAY AFFECT THE MID-SOUTH AND ARKANSAS BY THE END OF THE
WEEK...BUT AT THIS TIME SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. 

PEOPLE SHOULD KEEP AN EYE ON THESE POTENTIAL WEATHER EVENTS IN THE
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN TIME FRAME. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY
WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING AND SEVERITY OF THESE SYSTEMS. MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECASTS...STATEMENTS...AND OUTLOOKS FOR YOUR LOCAL 
AREA FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT. 

&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE 
VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

$$

73,
Glenn