[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 080936
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-091000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN 
BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT SUN MAY 8 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT 

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN IN CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER FOR
THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...CONTINUES TO BE PUSHED TO THE EAST BY AN 
UPPER LEVEL TROF MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. SOUTHERLY WINDS 
WILL CONTINUE TO BRING INCREASING AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE INTO THE 
NATURAL STATE. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN THE BASE OF THIS TROUGH 
IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO. THE DISTURBANCE WILL 
GAIN STRENGTH AS IT LIFTS TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AND INTO A MORE 
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND WILL BE LOCATED NEAR THE ARKLATEX BY 
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. IT WILL BE CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE 
REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BY NOON OVER THE 
WESTERN PART OF THE AREA WITH THE PRECIP SPREADING SLOWLY EASTWARD 
THROUGH THE DAY. AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES...THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO 
BECOME HEAVIER AND MORE WIDE SPREAD THROUGH THE NIGHT. HEAVY RAIN 
REMAINS A POSSIBILITY WITH THIS SYSTEM ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND 
NORTHERN ARKANSAS...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A CAMDEN TO SHERIDAN 
TO AUGUSTA LINE. AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE 
POSSIBLE. WITH THE RECENT DRY CONDITIONS...FLOODING IS NOT A MAJOR 
CONCERN BUT PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS AND IN LOW AREAS IS 
POSSIBLE. 

WHILE A FEW STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT...IT APPEARS 
THE CHANCES OF WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN LOW. HAIL WOULD 
BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN IN ANY SEVERE STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...POSSIBLY WITH HEAVY RAIN... WILL BE 
ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD. THE DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OVER 
NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS AROUND NOON AND THEN MOVE OUT OF THE STATE BY 
EARLY AFTERNOON. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE ENDING FROM SOUTHWEST TO 
NORTHEAST DURING THE MORNING AND BE JUST ABOUT OVER BY EARLY IN THE 
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY IN THE 
DAY. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE BUT MORE 
ISOLATED IN NATURE.

ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF THE 
STORM AND ITS UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT PULL OUT. THE REMAINDER OF THE 
WEEK LOOKS DRY UNTIL LATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WHEN ANOTHER STORM 
WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH THE MID SOUTH.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE 
VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

$$

73,
Glenn