[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 271043 AAC
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST SUN MAR 27 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-281100-
INDEPENDENCE-CONWAY-FAULKNER-IZARD-NEWTON-SEARCY-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-
JEFFERSON-STONE-HOT SPRING-GRANT-WHITE-WOODRUFF-GARLAND-CLEVELAND-
DALLAS-CALHOUN-OUACHITA-DESHA-LINCOLN-LOGAN-BRADLEY-SALINE-BAXTER-
MARION-SHARP-FULTON-BOONE-MONTGOMERY-POLK-JACKSON-CLEBURNE-
VAN BUREN-POPE-PIKE-PULASKI-MONROE-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-DREW-ARKANSAS-
CLARK-JOHNSON-
500 AM CST SUN MAR 27 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT RESPONSIBLE FOR THE RAIN ON 
SATURDAY CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE QUICKLY TO THE EAST...TAKING THE 
MAJORITY OF THE HEAVY RAIN WITH IT. HOWEVER...THE UPPER LEVEL PART 
OF THE STORM SYSTEM STILL HAS TO PASS WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MOST 
OF THE DAY.

THE LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROF IS LOCATED TO OUR WEST THIS MORNING. A 
STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS ROTATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THIS 
FEATURE WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALREADY FIRING UP OVER 
EASTERN TEXAS. AS THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND TROF APPROACH... 
RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA. THE AIR MASS OVER THE AREA REMAINS 
SATURATED AND AN ADDITIONAL ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH OF RAIN CAN 
BE EXPECTED WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY AMOUNTS APPROACHING ONE INCH.

THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED IN MANY AREAS AND ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL  
RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND THE PONDING OF WATER 
ON AREA ROADWAYS. HOWEVER...NO WIDESPREAD FLOODING PROBLEMS ARE 
EXPECTED.

WHILE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT DURING THE 
DAY....THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS LOW. SMALL HAIL 
WOULD BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO END FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE 
EARLY EVENING HOURS AND SHOULD BE OUT OF THE AREA NO LATER THAN 
MIDNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE SOUTH.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY 

AFTER SEVERAL DAYS TO DRY OUT...ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST
TO APPROACH ARKANSAS MID WEEK. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW AND ITS 
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL SWING OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND  
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE STATE WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THERE COULD BE A CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH 
THIS WEATHER SYSTEM.

PERSONS ACROSS ARKANSAS ARE URGED TO MONITOR LATER STATEMENTS AND 
FORECASTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE REGARDING THE POTENTIAL 
FOR SEVERE WEATHER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. 

SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE 
VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

$$

73,
Glenn