[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 221805 RRA
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1045 AM CST TUE MAR 22 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-231100-
INDEPENDENCE-CONWAY-FAULKNER-IZARD-NEWTON-SEARCY-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-
JEFFERSON-STONE-HOT SPRING-GRANT-WHITE-WOODRUFF-GARLAND-CLEVELAND-
DALLAS-CALHOUN-OUACHITA-DESHA-LINCOLN-LOGAN-BRADLEY-SALINE-BAXTER-
MARION-SHARP-FULTON-BOONE-MONTGOMERY-POLK-JACKSON-CLEBURNE-
VAN BUREN-POPE-PIKE-PULASKI-MONROE-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-DREW-ARKANSAS-
CLARK-JOHNSON-
1045 AM CST TUE MAR 22 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT

A POTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...AS A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA
CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD OVER CENTRAL ARKANSAS. CLOUDINESS
CONTINUES TO DECREASE OVER SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...ALLOWING MORE
SURFACE HEATING. THIS HEATING WILL INTERACT WITH THE TWO
SYSTEMS...AND ALLOW FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. 

SOME OF THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP MAY BECOME STRONG...AND A FEW MAY
EVEN REACH SEVERE LIMITS. DUE TO THE COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE
APPROACHING UPPER SYSTEM...THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH ANY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BE LARGE HAIL. 

THE DIFFERENCE IN THE COLD AIR ALOFT AND WARM AIR AT THE
SURFACE...ALONG WITH STRONG WINDS IN THE UPPER LEVELS MAY PRODUCE
A FEW OF WHAT ARE KNOWN AS COLD AIR FUNNEL CLOUDS. WHILE THESE MAY 
TAKE ON THE APPEARANCE OF A TORNADO...THESE RARELY REACH THE
GROUND. IF ONE WERE TO REACH THE GROUND...IT WOULD BE VERY
BRIEF LASTING ONLY A FEW MINUTES...AND IT WOULD PRODUCE LITTLE TO
NO SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. 

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY 

ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS LATE FRIDAY 
AND FRIDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED WITH THE FRONT...SO ONLY 
SMALL CHANCES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED.

THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL SOUTH OF ARKANSAS OVER THE WEEKEND. 
MEANWHILE...ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ALONG THE FRONT. THE 
CIRCULATION AROUND THE LOW WILL BRING INCREASING MOISTURE NORTHWARD 
INTO ARKANSAS...RESULTING IN GOOD CHANCES OF RAIN SATURDAY AND 
SUNDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT THE CHANCES OF 
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LOW.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING. 

&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE VISIT
OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

$$

73,
Glenn