[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 211755
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1155 AM CST MON MAR 21 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-221100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1155 AM CST MON MAR 21 2005
 
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A WARM FRONT TO THE SOUTH OF ARKANSAS...WILL BE MOVING SLOWLY TO THE 
NORTH THIS AFTERNOON AS LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS IN THE PLAINS 
STATES. 
THE WARM FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO SOUTHERN ARKANSAS LATE THIS 
AFTERNOON AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES CLOSER TO THE STATE. 
MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT...TRAILING SOUTHWARD FROM THE LOW...IS 
FORECAST TO APPROACH WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS EVENING AND WILL MOVE 
ACROSS THE REST OF THE STATE BY MID MORNING TUESDAY. 

A LINE OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT 
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...AND THEN WILL PUSH 
EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE WARM 
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE A FEATURE THAT WILL PLAY A FACTOR IN 
DETERMINING SEVERE WEATHER FEATURES.

FORECAST TEMPERATURE....MOISTURE...AND WIND PROFILES SUGGEST LARGE 
HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM LATE THIS 
AFTERNOON AND DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. FORECAST PROFILES SUGGEST 
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS ALONG 
AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM MENA...TO ARKADELPHIA...TO DUMAS. ALSO 
ACROSS THIS AREA...ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE  
EVENING. 

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY 

THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER 
AROUND SUNRISE TUESDAY...WITH THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER 
DIMINISHING BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING. 

ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY 
AS THE ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES ACROSS NORTH ARKANSAS. SOME 
OF THE STORMS OVER NORTH ARKANSAS COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL TUESDAY 
AFTERNOON AS COLDER AIR ALOFT...ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW... 
MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.

PERSONS ACROSS ARKANSAS ARE URGED TO MONITOR LATER STATEMENTS AND 
FORECASTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE REGARDING THE POTENTIAL 
FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. 

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED OVER PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS 
LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE LATEST DATA SUGGESTS THAT THE MOST 
ACTIVE PERIOD FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE BETWEEN 7 PM TONIGHT AND 1 
AM TUESDAY. 

$$

73,
Glenn