[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 140133 AAA
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
830 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-141000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
830 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE EASTERN PLAINS...WILL MOVE 
INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO 
DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH WIDESPREAD 
SEVERE WEATHER OCCURRING TO THE WEST AND NORTH OF THE AREA.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MAINLY WESTERN AND NORTHERN 
ARKANSAS THROUGH MORNING BUT ALL AREAS OF THE NATURAL STATE WILL 
HAVE CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION TONIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD 
BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE. THIS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY IN AREAS WEST OF 
A LINE FROM GLENWOOD...TO CONWAY...TO BATESVILLE. THE PRIMARY 
CONCERNS ARE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BUT ISOLATED TORNADOES 
CAN NOT RULED OUT. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE SLOW MOVERS AND 
CONTAIN COPIOUS AMOUNT OF RAIN WITH FLASH FLOODING A POSSIBILITY IF 
THE STORMS MOVE OVER THE SAME AREA.

THE LINE OF STORMS HAS BEEN SHOWING SOME SUBTLE SIGNS OF WEAKENING 
AS IT MOVES INTO A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OVER OUR AREA BUT 
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN AND 
WESTERN PART OF THE STATE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. WHILE SEVERE WEATHER 
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE AFTERWARDS...THE THREAT WILL LESSEN AS THE 
AIR MASS SLOWLY STABILIZES WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH AND OUT OF ARKANSAS BY LATE 
TUESDAY. HOWEVER...IT IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST 
OF THE STATE BY WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE 
POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT OVER THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE STATE BUT 
THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE OVERLY HIGH 
AT THIS POINT.

ONCE THE FRONT DOES MOVE THROUGH...WINDS ALOFT WILL TURN MORE 
NORTHWEST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY 
AND THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY AS A STRONG UPPER IMPULSE MOVES DOWN IN 
THIS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AND INTERACT WITH THE SYSTEM. AT THIS 
TIME...THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD OR ORGANIZED SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS TO BE LOW.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT OVER ABOUT THE NORTHWEST
HALF OF ARKANSAS.

&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE
VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

$$

73,
Glenn