[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 021906 AAA
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
100 PM CST SUN JAN 2 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-031100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
100 PM CST SUN JAN 2 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE...AS 
ABUNDANT MOISTURE INTERACTS WILL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES. RAIN WILL 
INCREASE IN COVERAGE TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD EXCEED ONE TO 
TWO INCHES IN SOME AREAS. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE 
RAINFALL WILL BE IN NORTHERN AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...NORTH AND WEST 
OF A LINE FROM ARKADELPHIA...TO LITTLE ROCK...TO NEWPORT.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST FOR MUCH OF THIS 
TIME FRAME. ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE STREAMING UP FROM THE 
SOUTHWEST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONTINUING THROUGH 
TUESDAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS 
AND STALLS OUT.

THE FRONT WILL MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH ON TUESDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH
RAINFALL GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF.

WITH THE COPIOUS MOISTURE IN PLACE...AND SLOW MOVING OR STALLED 
SURFACE BOUNDARIES PRESENT...HEAVY RAINFALL IS A POSSIBILITY. ONE TO 
THREE INCH AMOUNTS COULD OCCUR THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH LOCALLY 
HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED IN MANY PARTS 
OF THE STATE...AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL ONLY CAUSE ADDITIONAL 
RUN OFF AND FLOODING CONCERNS.

AT THIS TIME...THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL APPEARS 
TO BE OVER THE NORTHWEST HALF OF ARKANSAS...NORTH OF A LINE FROM 
ARKADELPHIA...TO BRINKLEY.

THIS FAR OUT...TIMING IS ALWAYS A CONCERN. MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR ANY
CHANGES IN THE FORECAST...AND FOR UPDATES CONCERNING THIS
POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS WEATHER SITUATION.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

73,
Glenn