[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 011750
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1145 AM CST SAT JAN  1 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-021100-
BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-
DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE- 
IZARD-JACKSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-MARION-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON- 
OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-
VAN BUREN-WHITE-YELL-ARKANSAS-JEFFERSON-LONOKE-MONROE-PRAIRIE- 
PULASKI-WOODRUFF-
1145 AM CST SAT JAN  1 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ABUNDANT MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM INTO THE REGION ON SOUTHERLY 
WINDS BOTH ALOFT AND ON THE SURFACE. AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG 
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH AREAS OF REDUCED VISIBILITY. 
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. PLEASE 
EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING AND BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN CHANGES IN 
VISIBILITY. 

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST FOR MUCH OF THE  
TIME FRAME. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR ABUNDANT MOISTURE TO CONTINUE 
STREAMING UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF UPPER 
LEVEL IMPULSES WILL MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS ON SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH 
ANOTHER SYSTEM FOLLOWING ON MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL ATTEMPT TO 
MOVE INTO ARKANSAS. HOWEVER...WITH A PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF 
HIGH PRESSURE ACTING AS A BLOCKING MECHANISM...THE FRONT WILL STALL 
AROUND SOUTHERN MISSOURI OR NORTHERN ARKANSAS. 

WITH THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE IN PLACE...AND SLOW-MOVING OR STALLED 
SURFACE BOUNDARIES PRESENT...HEAVY RAINFALL IS A POSSIBILITY. ONE TO 
THREE INCH AMOUNTS COULD OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY 
NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE GROUND REMAINS 
SATURATED IN MANY PARTS OF THE STATE AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL 
ONLY CAUSE ADDITIONAL RUN OFF AND FLOODING CONCERNS. 

AT THIS TIME...THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL APPEARS
TO BE OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF ARKANSAS...NORTH OF A LINE FROM 
ARKADELPHIA...TO BRINKLEY. THE RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY COME TO AN 
END LATE WEDNESDAY...AS THE UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN AND ALLOWS A 
COLD FRONT TO PUSH THROUGH THE STATE.

THIS FAR OUT...TIMING IS ALWAYS A CONCERN. MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR ANY 
CHANGES IN THE FORECAST...AND FOR UPDATES CONCERNING THIS 
POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS WEATHER. 

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

73,
Glenn