[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 011056
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST SAT JAN  1 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-021100-
BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-
DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-
IZARD-JACKSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-MARION-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-
OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-
VAN BUREN-WHITE-YELL-ARKANSAS-JEFFERSON-LONOKE-MONROE-PRAIRIE-
PULASKI-WOODRUFF-
500 AM CST SAT JAN  1 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST FOR MUCH OF THE 
DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN PERIOD. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR ABUNDANT MOISTURE 
TO CONTINUE STREAMING UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE FIRST IN A SERIES 
OF UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES WILL MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS ON SUNDAY 
NIGHT...WITH ANOTHER SYSTEM FOLLOWING ON MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL 
ATTEMPT TO MOVE INTO ARKANSAS. HOWEVER...WITH A PERSISTENT UPPER 
LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACTING AS A BLOCKING MECHANISM...THE 
FRONT WILL STALL AROUND SOUTHERN MISSOURI OR NORTHERN ARKANSAS. 

WITH THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE IN PLACE...AND SLOW-MOVING OR STALLED 
SURFACE BOUNDARIES PRESENT...HEAVY RAINFALL IS A POSSIBILITY. ONE TO 
THREE INCH AMOUNTS COULD OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

AT THIS TIME...THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL APPEARS
TO BE OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF ARKANSAS...WEST OF A LINE FROM 
ARKADELPHIA...TO BRINKLEY. THE RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY COME TO AN 
END LATE WEDNESDAY...AS THE UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN AND ALLOWS A 
COLD FRONT TO PUSH THROUGH THE STATE.

THIS FAR OUT...TIMING IS ALWAYS A CONCERN. MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR ANY 
CHANGES IN THE FORECAST...AND FOR UPDATES CONCERNING THIS 
POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS WEATHER. 

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

73,
Glenn