[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

egwolfjr at email.com egwolfjr at email.com
Wed Feb 23 05:52:59 EST 2005


Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 231029 AAB
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST WED FEB 23 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-241100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 PM CST WED FEB 23 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEMS APPROACHING FROM CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND THE 
NORTHERN PLAINS WILL WORK IN TANDEM TO BRING VERY UNSETTLED WEATHER 
TO THE NATURAL STATE. THIS COMPLEX SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN...ISOLATED 
THUNDERSTORMS AND POSSIBLE WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO THE NORTH OVER 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD ALL OF THE STATE THIS MORNING AS THE UPPER 
LEVEL DISTURBANCE FROM OKLAHOMA PASSES THROUGH. THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
ALSO BE POSSIBLE BUT THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS STABLE AND NOT VERY 
CONDUCIVE TO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. HOWEVER...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS 
MAY BECOME STRONG WITH LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY CONCERN. 

TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY RISE A FEW DEGREES TODAY WITH CLOUDS AND 
PRECIPITATION AROUND MOST OF THE DAY. THE DISTURBANCE FROM THE NORTH 
WILL ONLY DEEPEN THE DEVELOPING NORTHWEST FLOW. RAIN CHANCES WILL 
DECREASE TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PULLS OUT. SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY CLOSE TO FREEZING BY LATE IN THE DAY 
ACROSS THE NORTH AND SOME WINTRY TYPE PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE. AS 
THE ATMOSPHERE COOLS...A LIGHT MIX OF SLEET AND RAIN IS POSSIBLE 
BEFORE A COMPLETE CHANGE OVER TO SNOW.

IT SHOULD BE EMPHASIZED THIS IS NOT A MAJOR WINTER EVENT AND LITTLE 
IF ANY ACCUMULATION IS ANTICIPATED. ANY ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE 
CONFINED TO ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES ALONG 
WITH GRASSY AREAS. ONLY LINGERING PRECIPITATION WILL BE OCCURRING 
ACROSS THE NORTH BY THURSDAY MORNING.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE STORM SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE INCLIMATE WEATHER OF WEDNESDAY 
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE PULLING OUT OF THE AREA EARLY THURSDAY 
MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL END ACROSS THE NORTH AS LIGHT SNOW 
EARLY AND AGAIN...LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. ACROSS 
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...THE SHOWERY TYPE WEATHER WILL END NO 
LATER THAN NOON WITH MAYBE SOME SUNSHINE BREAKING THROUGH LATE IN 
THE DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOL AND WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR 
LATE FEBRUARY.

AFTER A BRIEF RESPITE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...MORE WET WEATHER WILL 
RETURN FOR LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...THE STORM SYSTEM LOOKS TO 
BE RATHER WEAK AT THIS POINT AND THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL 
REMAIN LOW.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

73,
Glenn



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