[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 210641 AAC
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1245 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-211100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1245 AM CST MON FEB 21 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TONIGHT

DURING SUNDAY AFTERNOON...CLOUDS BROKE UP ACROSS NORTHERN AND 
WESTERN ARKANSAS...AND TEMPERATURES WARMED IN THE LOWER AND MID 70S. 
MOISTURE LEVELS WERE RATHER LOW AT GROUND LEVEL...BUT MOISTURE 
INCREASED AS EVENING APPROACHED. THE WARMTH AND MOISTURE 
DESTABILIZED THE ATMOSPHERE ENOUGH FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. 

THE STORMS WERE MOSTLY ALONG A COLD FRONT STRADDLING THE MISSOURI 
AND ARKANSAS BORDER. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO NORTHERN 
ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE 
POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT WITH SOME SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE MOST LIKELY IN 
THE NORTHEAST COUNTIES. THE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE FRONT...THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ISOLATED AND LESS ORGANIZED...WITH LESSER 
CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

WHERE STORMS DEVELOP AND BECOME SEVERE...THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE 
LARGE HAIL. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AS WELL.

PEOPLE ARE ENCOURAGED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE WEATHER CONDITIONS 
OVERNIGHT. LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS FROM THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF A WATCH 
OR WARNING IS ISSUED.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO ARKANSAS FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT IS 
EXPECTED TO STALL OUT OVER CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE 
STATE EARLY IN THE WEEK. THE FRONT...WHEN INTERACTING WITH 
SEVERAL SYSTEMS ALOFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST...WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY...AND IN 
EXTREME SOUTHERN ARKANSAS LATE TUESDAY. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT 
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. COOLER AND MORE STABLE AIR WILL MOVE INTO 
ARKANSAS BY WEDNESDAY. THUS THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...HEAVY 
RAINS...AND ANY SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD END BY WEDNESDAY. 

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT...MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN 
ARKANSAS WHERE SEVERE STORMS ARE MOST LIKELY. 

$$

73,
Glenn