[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 202221 AAB
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
415 PM CST SUN FEB 20 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-211100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
415 PM CST SUN FEB 20 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

CLOUDS WERE BREAKING UP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN 
ARKANSAS...WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE. IN THE NORTH AND 
WEST...WITH SOME SUNSHINE...TEMPERATURES WERE WARMING INTO THE LOWER 
70S IN SOME AREAS. HOWEVER...MOISTURE LEVELS WERE RATHER LOW AT 
GROUND LEVEL...WHICH WAS KEEPING THE ATMOSPHERE FROM DESTABILIZING 
TOO MUCH. THIS MAY CHANGE THIS EVENING. 

A COLD FRONT EXTENDED ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI. SATELLITE SHOWED A 
LINE OF PUFFY CUMULUS CLOUDS ALONG THE FRONT. MEANWHILE...A SYSTEM 
ALOFT WAS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...AND WAS HEADED EASTWARD. 
ALSO...ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WAS 
NOTED IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AND WAS BUILDING TO THE 
NORTH. 

AS MOISTURE WORKS TOWARD THE FRONT...AND THE SYSTEM IN THE PLAINS 
INTERACTS WITH THE FRONT...THE CLOUDS ALONG THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED 
TO DEVELOP INTO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. THE STORMS WILL MOVE WITH 
THE FRONT INTO ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT...AND SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE 
SEVERE. 

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE MOST LIKELY 
IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE...OR FROM LITTLE ROCK NORTHWARD.
FARTHER SOUTH...WITH LOW CLOUDS IN PLACE...THE ATMOSPHERE IS 
SOMEWHAT CAPPED...AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE DIFFICULTY POPPING 
UP. 

WHERE STORMS DEVELOP AND BECOME SEVERE...THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE 
LARGE HAIL. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AS WELL.

PEOPLE ARE ENCOURAGED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE WEATHER CONDITIONS 
THROUGH TONIGHT. LISTEN FOR STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS FROM THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF A WATCH 
OR WARNING IS ISSUED.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO ARKANSAS FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT IS 
EXPECTED TO STALL OUT OVER CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE 
STATE EARLY IN THE WEEK. THE FRONT...WHEN INTERACTING WITH 
SEVERAL SYSTEMS ALOFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST...WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY...AND IN 
EXTREME SOUTHERN ARKANSAS LATE TUESDAY. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT 
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. COOLER AND MORE STABLE AIR WILL MOVE INTO 
ARKANSAS BY WEDNESDAY. THUS THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...HEAVY 
RAINS...AND ANY SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD END BY WEDNESDAY. 

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT...MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN 
HALF OF ARKANSAS WHERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. 

$$

73,
Glenn