[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 201101
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST SUN FEB 20 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-211100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CST SUN FEB 20 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH ARKANSAS FROM THE PLAINS THROUGH TONIGHT.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME LIKELY OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
TWO THIRDS OF ARKANSAS BY LATE TODAY. AT THIS TIME...THERE IS STILL
A GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARDS TO THE THREAT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.

ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE DAY TODAY.
THIS...ALONG WITH WARM AIR IN THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE
COULD ACT TO INHIBIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...IF
THE CLOUDS DO BREAK...AND SOME SUNSHINE REACHES THE SURFACE OVER A
SIZABLE AREA...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE LIKELY TO DEVELOP.

THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR THESE STORMS TO BECOME STRONG...AS
PLENTY OF WIND ENERGY IS AVAILABLE IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS OF
THE ATMOSPHERE. ALSO...AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES...COOLING WILL
TAKE PLACE ALOFT. THUS...IF THE THUNDERSTORMS DO DEVELOP AND BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE...THEY WOULD BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL.

THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNSET...HOWEVER...THERE
WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AS
THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE THREAT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...HOWEVER...IS EXPECTED TO END SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.

PEOPLE ARE ENCOURAGED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE WEATHER CONDITIONS...
ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LISTEN FOR THE LATEST
STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...AND
BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF A WATCH OR WARNING IS ISSUED.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT OVER CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS EARLY IN THE WEEK. THE FRONT...WHEN INTERACTING WITH
SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA...WILL ACT AS A
FOCUS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY...
AND IN EXTREME SOUTHERN ARKANSAS LATE TUESDAY. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT.

$$

73,
Glenn