[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 220033 AAB
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
732 PM CDT THU APR 21 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-221000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING- 
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE- 
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- 
WOODRUFF-YELL-
732 PM CDT THU APR 21 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS MOST OF 
ARKANSAS...AND A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IN EXTREME SOUTHERN 
ARKANSAS.  

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND WILL MOVE INTO THE 
STATE AROUND MIDNIGHT. VERY UNSTABLE AIR WILL CONTINUE INTO THE 
EARLY MORNING HOURS OF FRIDAY. DEW POINTS WILL BE NEAR OR ABOVE 60 
DEGREES. 

THE FIRST ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WERE SPARKED BY A WEAK UPPER LEVEL 
SYSTEM PUSHING ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS. THE 
SECOND ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT 
MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT IN EASTERN 
OKLAHOMA WILL MOVE INTO ARKANSAS TONIGHT. 

THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT WILL BE TONIGHT...WHEN THE COLD FRONT MOVES 
INTO THE STATE. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN 
THREATS WITH THESE STORMS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE 
RULED OUT ESPECIALLY IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA IN WESTERN ARKANSAS. 

THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL AND EASTERN 
ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT. ALSO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY OCCUR AND THE 
HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AS THE STORMS WEAKEN 
AND SLOW DOWN.   

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IN ABOUT THE SOUTHEASTERN
ONE HALF OF ARKANSAS ON FRIDAY...MOSTLY DURING THE DAY. 

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS FRIDAY MORNING INTO THE 
EARLY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN 
PROGRESS EARLY FRIDAY MORNING IN MUCH OF THE AREA. ISOLATED SEVERE
STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE STORMS SHOULD WEAKEN DURING 
THE MORNING. BY AFTERNOON...THUNDERSTORMS WILL REINTENSIFY OR 
NEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT...WHICH BY THAT 
TIME SHOULD BE INTO SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. INDICATIONS ARE 
THAT THE CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE OUT OF THE AREA BY 
LATE IN THE DAY FRIDAY. 

UNSEASONABLY COOL WEATHER WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE OVER THE WEEKEND. 
THE COOLEST WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY NIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S IN MUCH OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS. SOME OF THE 
USUAL COLD SPOTS IN THE NORTH COULD FALL EVEN LOWER AND SOME FROST 
IS POSSIBLE. 

ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. 
THERE WILL BE SOME CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER ARE LOW AT THIS TIME.  

SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL PROBABLY BE NECESSARY IN NORTHERN AND 
WESTERN ARKANSAS EARLY TONIGHT AND MAY BE NEEDED INTO PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS LATER TONIGHT. 

&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE 
VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

$$

73,
Glenn