[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

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FLUS44 KLZK 101001
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT SUN APR 10 2005

ARZ016-025-031>034-039-041>047-052>057-062>069-111000-
INDEPENDENCE-CONWAY-FAULKNER-PERRY-JEFFERSON-HOT SPRING-GRANT-
WHITE-WOODRUFF-CLEVELAND-DALLAS-CALHOUN-OUACHITA-DESHA-LINCOLN-
BRADLEY-JACKSON-MONTGOMERY-SALINE-GARLAND-PIKE-PULASKI-MONROE-
LONOKE-PRAIRIE-DREW-ARKANSAS-CLARK-
500 AM CDT SUN APR 10 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN 
ARKANSAS. 

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
EAST FROM THE PLAINS TODAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT...AS THE COLD FRONT ADVANCES EASTWARD FROM 
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO WESTERN 
ARKANSAS AFTER SUNSET. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE. 
WITH COLD AIR IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AND A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF 
WIND ENERGY IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE FROM ANY SEVERE STORMS THAT DEVELOP. 
ALSO...BECAUSE OF THE TURNING AND INCREASING OF WINDS WITH
HEIGHT...ISOLATED TORNADOES WOULD NOT BE OUT OF THE
QUESTION. AS THE STORMS HEAD INTO ARKANSAS...THEY WILL ORGANIZE
INTO A SQUALL LINE BEFORE WEAKENING AROUND DAWN MONDAY MORNING. 

AS THE SYSTEM MOVES CLOSER TO THE MID AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...IT WILL ENCOUNTER A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IN THE UPPER
LEVELS. THIS WILL ACT TO SLOW THE SYSTEM DOWN. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
LIKELY TO DEVELOP AND MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS...AND THIS WILL
INCREASE THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. 

DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO WESTERN   
ARKANSAS ON MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM
THE SOUTHWEST. THIS...ALONG WITH HEATING OF THE DAY WILL ALLOW FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO RE-DEVELOP MONDAY AFTERNOON...MOST 
LIKELY OVER CENTRAL ARKANSAS. AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES
EASTWARD...THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL HEAD ACROSS CENTRAL
AND EASTERN ARKANSAS. SOME OF THE STORMS ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING COULD BECOME SEVERE. ONCE AGAIN...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS COULD OCCUR WITH ANY SEVERE STORMS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE 
ALSO A POSSIBILITY. IT APPEARS THAT THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT 
WOULD BE OVER SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS...IN THE DELTA REGION. 
ALSO...SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AS THEY 
DEVELOP AND MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS. 

AT THIS TIME...THERE IS STILL A DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING
THE SPEED OF THIS SYSTEM. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOSTLY BE EAST OF THE AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT. IF
THE SYSTEM SLOWS DOWN...HOWEVER...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WOULD BE
POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT...PRIMARILY OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF
ARKANSAS.

TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT
THIS TIME. 

PEOPLE SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONCERNING THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER
SITUATION. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF A WATCH OR WARNING IS
ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. 

SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT. 

$$

73,
Glenn