[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 301534 AAA
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1030 AM CDT SAT OCT 30 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-311100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1030 AM CDT SAT OCT 30 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

DRY AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE TODAY...DUE TO THE PASSAGE OF A 
COLD FRONT THIS MORNING. THIS DRY AIR RETURN WILL BE BRIEF...AS A 
STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN THE PLAINS BRINGS THE CHANCES OF 
PRECIPITATION BACK TO THE NATURAL STATE LATE TONIGHT.

THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE STATE THIS MORNING WILL MOVE 
SLOWLY NORTH AS A WARM FRONT LATE TONIGHT. RAIN AND ISOLATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AS THE FRONT MEANDERS 
AROUND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW 
PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE STATE.

DUE TO THE ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE...THE RAIN MAY BE 
HEAVY AT TIMES. THE AREA OF GREATEST CONCERN WILL BE IN SOUTHWEST 
ARKANSAS...OR WEST OF A LINE FROM FORT SMITH TO EL DORADO... 
INCLUDING MENA AND HOT SPRINGS.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE ITS NORTHERLY MOVEMENT INTO CENTRAL 
ARKANSAS SUNDAY...AND INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS SUNDAY NIGHT. SEVERAL 
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE 
STATE...AND INTERACT WITH THE FRONT. AGAIN...THE RAIN MAY BE HEAVY 
AT TIMES...PRIMARILY OVER NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...OR NORTH OF A 
MENA...TO HOT SPRINGS...TO BATESVILLE LINE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE 
TO THREE INCHES COULD OCCUR IN THESE AREAS. WITH ALREADY SATURATED 
GROUND...HEAVY RAINFALL IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME MAY PRODUCE FLASH 
FLOODING PROBLEMS.

RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT 
APPROACHES. THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS MONDAY NIGHT. 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE 
MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY OVER MUCH OF THE STATE. THE COLD FRONT 
WILL MOVE EAST ON TUESDAY.

PEOPLE ARE URGED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE WEATHER SUNDAY AND MONDAY. 
MANY AREAS IN NORTHERN AND WESTERN ARKANSAS HAVE RECEIVED 7 TO 10 
INCHES OF RAINFALL IN THE LAST FEW WEEKS. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL 
ONLY INUNDATE AN ALREADY SATURATED GROUND. MONITOR THE LATEST 
STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...AND BE 
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF A WATCH OR WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR 
AREA.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ABUNDANT IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE...AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SWINGS ACROSS
NORTHERN ARKANSAS ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

THE RAINFALL WILL COME TO AN END BY WEDNESDAY. MUCH DRIER AIR WILL
FILTER IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM...WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO
THE STATE.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

73,
Glenn