[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 221903
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
200 PM CDT FRI OCT 22 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-231000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
200 PM CDT FRI OCT 22 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLENTY OF MOISTURE CONTINUES TO FLOW INTO THE MID SOUTH AS A STORM 
SYSTEM CONTINUES TO GET ORGANIZED IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS STORM 
IS EXPECTED TO RACE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES 
REGION BY SATURDAY MORNING. A STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW OF AIR ALOFT 
WILL CARRY SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES THROUGH THE REGION. 
STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO BE ADDED TO THE MIX AND THE RESULT WILL BE 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A 
CHANCE THAT SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG TO POSSIBLY 
SEVERE. THE STORMS WILL INITIATE OVER NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THIS 
AFTERNOON AND PROGRESS SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NIGHT. LARGE HAIL 
AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN. 

THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM SYSTEM WILL WORK ITS WAY 
INTO EXTREME NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY MORNING. THE APPROACHING FRONT 
WILL HELP PRODUCE ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE 
NIGHT WITH SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS ONCE AGAIN APPROACHING SEVERE 
LIMITS.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE DURING SATURDAY MORNING 
AND WILL EXIT THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. 
AS THE FRONT PRESSES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE STATE...ADDITIONAL 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE MAIN CONCERN FOR 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OVER SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS EARLY IN THE 
DAY...IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT ITSELF. PRECIPITATION WILL END 
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST DURING THE MORNING.

AFTER A DRY DAY SUNDAY...ADDITIONAL UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED 
MOST OF NEXT WEEK. MOISTURE IS SET TO RETURN TO THE REGION ONCE 
AGAIN WITH A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH. 
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY 
THROUGH THURSDAY.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TONIGHT. 
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF 
THE AREA AGAIN ON SATURDAY. 

$$

73,
Glenn