[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 182342 AAB
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
640 PM CDT MON OCT 18 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-191000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
640 PM CDT MON OCT 18 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE 
STATE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS 
ARE POSSIBLE AS A UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE STATE.

THE MAIN AREA OF ACTIVITY WILL BE EAST OF A LINE FROM MAMMOTH 
SPRING...TO CONWAY...TO HOT SPRINGS...TO TEXARKANA. WHILE THE MAIN 
CONCERNS ARE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...ISOLATED TORNADOES 
CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. THE ACTIVITY WILL MAINLY BE DURING EARLY 
EVENING HOURS...BEFORE THE UPPER SYSTEM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST OF 
THE STATE.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

WARM HUMID AND UNSTABLE AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS ARKANSAS 
THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. NO SIGNIFICANT FRONTS OR LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY BUT THERE WILL BE A SMALL CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD. ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD 
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS COULD 
DEVELOP AT ANY TIME.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL COME CLOSER TO ARKANSAS BY THE WEEKEND
AND A COLD FRONT MAY REACH THE STATE. AS THIS OCCURS...THE CHANCE
OF SEVERE WEATHER MAY INCREASE ACROSS ARKANSAS.  

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED AT TIMES THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY FOR SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL ARKANSAS.     

$$

73,
Glenn