[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

egwolfjr at email.com egwolfjr at email.com
Mon Oct 18 13:35:42 EDT 2004


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FLUS44 KLZK 181730
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1230 PM CDT MON OCT 18 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-191000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1230 PM CDT MON OCT 18 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS STILL A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER ALL BUT 
EXTREME WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. ALL AREAS ROUGHLY EAST OF A 
BERRYVILLE TO PARIS TO NASHVILLE TO BRADLEY LINE MAY SEE ADDITIONAL 
STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON 
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. 

THUNDERSTORMS MOVED RAPIDLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS THIS 
MORNING AND PRODUCED WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER. NUMEROUS TORNADO 
WARNINGS WERE ALSO ISSUED FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS THIS 
MORNING. A STORM SURVEY TEAM FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS 
BEEN DISPATCHED TO INVESTIGATE THE REPORTS. 

LATER THIS AFTERNOON...THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AGAIN ACROSS PARTS
OF ARKANSAS. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED
OUT BUT THE TORNADO THREAT IS LOW. THIS CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER
WILL MAINLY BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT BEFORE THE 
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE STATE. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 MPH 
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN MOST OF THE STATE TODAY. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY 
IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE STATE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS
SHOULD DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.   

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

WARM HUMID AND UNSTABLE AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS ARKANSAS 
THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. NO SIGNIFICANT FRONTS OR LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY BUT THERE WILL BE A SMALL CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD. ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS COULD DEVELOP 
AT ANY TIME.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL COME CLOSER TO ARKANSAS BY THE WEEKEND
AND A COLD FRONT MAY REACH THE STATE. AS THIS OCCURS...THE CHANCE
OF SEVERE WEATHER MAY INCREASE ACROSS ARKANSAS.  

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED AT TIMES THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY FOR SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL ARKANSAS.     

$$

73,
Glenn



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