[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 170957
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT SUN OCT 17 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-181000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT SUN OCT 17 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.


DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WARM FRONT WILL BE MOVING NORTH ACROSS ARKANSAS TODAY. THIS WILL 
BRING MOISTURE OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO AND LIFT IT TO PRODUCE 
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT...MAINLY OVER EXTREME 
NORTHERN ARKANSAS. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE 
STRONG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.


DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE EXISTS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE 
NORTHEAST QUARTER OF ARKANSAS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A 
SURFACE LOW MOVES EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE COUNTRY. 
THIS LOW WILL TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE 
MID-SOUTH...INCLUDING ARKANSAS. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STRONG TO 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS...DAMAGING 
HAIL AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ALSO... 
THERE WILL BE STRONG WINDS ON MONDAY IN RESPONSE TO THE DEVELOPING 
LOW IN EASTERN KANSAS. LAKE WIND ADVISORIES MAY BE REQUIRED ON 
MONDAY. WINDS SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND 20 MPH ON 
MONDAY...BUT STRONGER GUSTS MAY DEVELOP.

THE PERIOD OF UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY AND 
TUESDAY EVENING. ANOTHER FAST-MOVING LOW ALOFT WILL BE PUSHING 
THROUGH THE MID-SOUTH AND THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. A LARGE SECTION OF 
ARKANSAS WILL HAVE THE NECESSARY CONDITIONS PRESENT FOR STRONG TO 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS 
WELL.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 
EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND FIRST RESPONDERS ARE URGED TO KEEP INFORMED 
OF THE LATEST WEATHER CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS FOR MONDAY. THE NEXT 
BOUT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FOLLOWING ON THE HEELS OF MONDAYS 
WEATHER...SO VIGILANCE WILL BE REQUIRED ONCE MORE TUESDAY AFTERNOON 
AND EVENING.

$$

73,
Glenn