[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 010940
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT FRI OCT 1 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-021000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT FRI OCT 1 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING IS 
FORECAST TO MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FEATURE AS IT PASSES FROM 
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI BY MID MORNING. THE BEST 
CHANCES OF SEEING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS DISTURBANCE 
WILL BE OVER THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE STATE THROUGH NOON. SOME 
PRECIPITATION MAY MAKE INTO NORTH CENTRAL PARTS OF THE STATE.

MEANWHILE...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING THE STATE FROM 
THE NORTHWEST. SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT BEHIND THE FIRST FEATURE WITH 
NUMEROUS BOUNDARIES LEFT IN ITS WAKE. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME 
UNSTABLE WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FIRING UP 
LATE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE ADVANCING FRONT.

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT A FEW STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS MAY 
ACCOMPANY THE FRONT LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH DAMAGING 
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE MAIN CONCERNS. HOWEVER...IT APPEARS THAT 
THE CHANCES OF A WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK WILL BE LOW. 
ONCE AGAIN...THE BEST CHANCES OF SEEING SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE OVER 
THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE STATE.

THE FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE NIGHT...REACHING THE 
SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE BY SUNRISE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT BUT THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE 
WEATHER WILL LESSEN WITH TIME.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT SATURDAY WITH MUCH 
COOLER WEATHER THAT WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY 
NEXT WEEK. THE COLDEST NIGHT WILL BE SATURDAY NIGHT WITH 
TEMPERATURES LIKELY DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 30S ACROSS PARTS OF THE 
NORTH.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT. SPOTTERS AND 
EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE ADVISED TO KEEP UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST 
FORECASTS FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

73,
Glenn