[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 261749
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1145 AM CST FRI NOV 26 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-271100-
BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-
DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-
IZARD-JACKSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-MARION-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-
OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-
VAN BUREN-WHITE-YELL-ARKANSAS-JEFFERSON-LONOKE-MONROE-PRAIRIE-
PULASKI-WOODRUFF-
1145 AM CST FRI NOV 26 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM...AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE 
EAST ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED 
WITH THIS FEATURE. MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM 
IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED. HOWEVER...VERTICAL WIND PROFILES ARE 
EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. 

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...ALONG 
AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM MENA...TO ARKADELPHIA...TO MONTICELLO. 
LARGE HAIL IS THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE STORMS.  

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A VERY WET PATTERN WILL BE TAKING SHAPE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A STRONG 
STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE 
STRETCHED OUT FROM CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TO THE TEXAS GULF COAST BY 
MONDAY WITH THIS FRONT BECOMING THE FOCUS POINT FOR OVERRUNNING 
RAINS TO DEVELOP. RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE STATE MONDAY AFTERNOON 
AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE EAST COAST 
WILL FEED COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE INTO THE SYSTEM WITH RAIN 
CONTINUING THROUGH MOST OF TUESDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL EVENTUALLY 
DEVELOP ON THE FRONT WEDNESDAY AND MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST... 
TAKING THE RAIN WITH IT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE BUT THE 
CONCERNS FOR SEVERE WEATHER APPEAR TO BE MINIMAL AT THIS POINT.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY LATE MONDAY THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE. WITH THE GROUND 
REMAINING SATURATED IN MANY AREAS FROM RECENT HEAVY RAIN...FLOODING 
WILL BE POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
FORECASTS FOR UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING...POTENTIALLY HEAVY 
RAIN...EVENT.  

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY LATE TONIGHT...BETWEEN MIDNIGHT 
AND 6 AM...AND POSSIBLY ONCE GAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

$$

73,
Glenn