[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 020922 AAA
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
321 AM CDT TUE NOV 2 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-021100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
321 AM CDT TUE NOV 2 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN FELL MONDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER 
AMOUNTS. THE RESULTS WERE WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING. THE HEAVIEST 
RAIN FELL OVER THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE. WITH THE MAIN 
MOISTURE CHANNEL NOW OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE STATE...A FLASH 
FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES OVER EASTERN ARKANSAS. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH 
IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM FOR ROUGHLY EAST OF A BATESVILLE TO BENTON 
TO CAMDEN LINE. 

AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO OF RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH 
AREA WHICH WOULD LEAD TO ADDITIONAL RUN OFF CONCERNS AND RISES ON 
AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. THE 
RAINFALL MAY BE ENHANCED AS THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ONLY CRAWL 
TO THE EAST...NOT REACHING THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER UNTIL LATER THIS 
MORNING. WHILE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS ONLY IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN 
AREAS...RAIN IS LIKELY ACROSS THE MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH THE 
MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN CENTRAL SECTIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE 
AS HIGH AS WHAT WILL BE SEEN OVER THE EAST.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE FRONTAL SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO STALL OUT OVER SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS 
TUESDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ON IT. ADDITIONAL RAIN IS 
LIKELY OVER THE STATE WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS OVER THE EAST. 
ANOTHER SURGE OF MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTH DURING TUESDAY 
AFTERNOON FOR ADDITIONAL RAIN. ANOTHER INCH OF RAIN OR MORE POSSIBLE 
ACROSS MAINLY EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS TUESDAY.

DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTH TUESDAY NIGHT AND 
WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW STILL HAS TO CROSS 
THE STATE WITH RAIN A POSSIBILITY ONCE AGAIN. IT APPEARS THE BEST 
CHANCES OF RAIN WEDNESDAY WILL BE OVER THE NORTH...CLOSER TO THE 
UPPER LOW.

ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN COULD CREATE MORE FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS 
..AND RISES ON LOCAL RIVERS AND STREAMS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL 
INTERESTS WILL ALSO NEED TO MONITOR THE SITUATION...AS FARM LANDS 
NEAR RIVER BANKS ARE LIKELY TO FLOOD.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE LATE WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT....ACCOMPANIED BY DRIER AIR. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN 
TO THE STATE FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TUESDAY FOR FLOODING CONCERNS.

$$

73,
Glenn