[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 012147 AAA
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
345 PM CDT MON NOV 1 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-021100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
345 PM CDT MON NOV 1 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY ADVANCE THROUGH THE STATE THIS 
AFTERNOON. WARM AND HUMID AIR CONTINUES IN ADVANCE OF THIS COLD 
FRONT WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN OCCURRING OVER MAINLY EASTERN 
ARKANSAS. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT 
SEVERAL HOURS OVER THE EAST. THE MAIN CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE STRONG 
GUSTY WINDS.

ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS RESULTED IN 
WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING. THE HEAVIEST RAIN FELL OVER THE SOUTHEAST 
HALF OF THE STATE. WITH THE MAIN MOISTURE CHANNEL NOW OVER THE 
EASTERN PART OF THE STATE...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES OVER 
EASTERN ARKANSAS. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM FOR 
ROUGHLY EAST OF A BATESVILLE TO BENTON TO CAMDEN LINE. AN ADDITIONAL 
INCH OR TWO OF RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WHICH WOULD 
LEAD TO ADDITIONAL RUN OFF CONCERNS AND RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND 
STREAMS. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. THE RAINFALL MAY BE 
ENHANCED AS THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ONLY CRAWL TO THE 
EAST...NOT REACHING THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE FRONTAL SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO STALL OUT OVER SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS 
TUESDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ON IT. ADDITIONAL RAIN IS 
LIKELY OVER THE STATE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE BEST 
CHANCES OF HEAVY RAIN OVER THE SOUTH AND WEST WITH ANOTHER INCH OF 
RAIN OR MORE POSSIBLE.

DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTH TUESDAY NIGHT AND 
WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW STILL HAS TO CROSS 
THE STATE WITH RAIN A POSSIBILITY ONCE AGAIN. IT APPEARS THE BEST 
CHANCES OF RAIN WEDNESDAY WILL BE OVER THE NORTH...CLOSER TO THE 
UPPER LOW.

ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN COULD CREATE MORE FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS 
..AND RISES ON LOCAL RIVERS AND STREAMS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL 
INTERESTS WILL ALSO NEED TO MONITOR THE SITUATION...AS FARM LANDS 
NEAR RIVER BANKS ARE LIKELY TO FLOOD.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE LATE WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT....ACCOMPANIED BY DRIER AIR. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN 
TO THE STATE FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY FOR FLOODING 
CONCERNS.

$$

73,
Glenn