[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 011047
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT MON NOV 1 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-021100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT MON NOV 1 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE WARM FRONT HAS NOW MOVED INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHERLY 
WINDS HAVE OVERSPREAD ARKANSAS. A COLD FRONT REMAINS IN WESTERN 
KANSAS AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP IN THIS 
WARM SECTOR. THE LARGE AREA OF RAIN IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL MOVE 
INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING AND WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST 
DURING THE DAY AND THROUGH TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAINS CAN BE 
EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT AND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN 
EXTENDED THROUGH TONIGHT. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH 
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER 4 INCHES. 

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT 
TODAY...MAINLY OVER THE SOUTH AND EAST SECTIONS OF THE STATE. STRONG 
WINDS ARE THE MAIN CONCERN.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY THROUGH THE STATE AND 
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY TUESDAY MORNING. HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO 
CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE SLOWLY TAPERING OFF FROM 
WEST TO EAST BY WEDNESDAY. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL 
BRIEFLY OVER SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS WITH A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE 
DEVELOPING ON IT. THIS WILL PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ON TUESDAY 
BUT MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE STATE. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW 
WILL PASS OVER NORTH ARKANSAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...BRINGING MORE 
RAINS TO THE AREA. THE MAJORITY OF THE DEEP MOISTURE WILL BE SHUNTED 
EAST BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON HOWEVER.  

THE RAINFALL WILL COME TO AN END BY LATE WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE 
WILL THEN BUILD INTO THE STATE AND SWEEP THIS SYSTEM WELL TO THE 
EAST AND MUCH DRIER AIR WILL FILTER IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM...WITH 
COOLER TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO THE STATE.

PEOPLE ARE URGED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE WEATHER TODAY AND TUESDAY. 
MANY AREAS IN NORTHERN AND WESTERN ARKANSAS HAVE RECEIVED 7 TO 10 
INCHES OF RAINFALL IN THE LAST FEW WEEKS. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL 
ONLY INUNDATE AN ALREADY SATURATED GROUND. MONITOR THE LATEST 
STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...AND BE 
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.

THE HEAVY RAINS COULD CREATE FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS...AND RISES ON 
LOCAL RIVERS AND STREAMS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS WILL 
ALSO NEED TO MONITOR THE SITUATION...AS FARM LANDS NEAR RIVER BANKS 
ARE LIKELY TO FLOOD.  

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

73,
Glenn