[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 291846
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
145 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-301000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
145 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNSET 
AS A VERY WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS IN PLACE. THE 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP MAY PRODUCE BRIEF GUSTY 
WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN BUT THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER 
IS MINIMAL.

MEANWHILE...A CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OVER THE 
CENTRAL PLAINS. IT WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST. IT 
WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT SLOWLY EASTWARD...APPROACHING NORTHWEST 
ARKANSAS BY MORNING. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO TRIGGER SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT. ONCE 
AGAIN...THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER IS SMALL.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE COLD FRONT TO OUR NORTHWEST WILL MAKE IT INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS 
BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. THE FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE 
STATE LATE SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL BE PLOWING 
INTO A VERY WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE. WINDS ALOFT AND 
OTHER DYNAMICS WILL BE COMING TOGETHER TO PRODUCE A VERY GOOD CHANCE 
OF SEVERE WEATHER STARTING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH 
THE NIGHT.

A LINE OF STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO 
DEVELOP NEAR OR ALONG THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. IN ADDITION TO 
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL... TORNADOS ARE POSSIBLE. THE STORMS 
SHOULD INITIATE IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON OVER NORTHWEST ARKANSAS 
AND SWEEP SOUTHEAST...REACHING THE LITTLE ROCK METROPOLITAN AREA BY 
EARLY EVENING AND FINALLY EXITING THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE 
BY SUNRISE MONDAY. ALTHOUGH THE BEST CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL 
BE ALONG THE FRONT ITSELF...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE 
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AT THE TIME OF MAXIMUM HEATING. 

THE FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY NEAR THE SOUTHERN BORDER OF ARKANSAS
MONDAY AND WILL REMAIN IN THE AREA FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. THERE WILL
BE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD AND 
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL
BE POSSIBLE.  
 
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT LIKELY TODAY OR TONIGHT...BUT MAY BE 
NECESSARY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

$$

56



73,
Glenn