[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 161346 AAA
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
844 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-171000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
844 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING AND 
AFTERNOON...ACROSS AN AREA ALONG AND TO THE SOUTHEAST OF A LINE 
FROM ARKADELPHIA....TO CONWAY...TO SEARCY. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK 
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA. 

A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS...LOCATED ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI  
..WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE DURING THE MORNING AND 
EARLY AFTERNOON. VERTICAL WIND AND INSTABILITY PROFILES SUGGEST 
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT THESE THUNDERSTORMS. 
SOME STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AS WELL.  

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO SOUTH ARKANSAS ON SATURDAY. 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE IN THE VICINITY OF 
THE FRONT. HOWEVER...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. RAIN CHANCES 
WILL DIMINISH LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT PUSHES 
SOUTH OF THE STATE AND DRIER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH.

DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE 
PERIOD.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$

73,
Glenn