[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 071014
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT WED JUL 7 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-081000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT WED JUL 7 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED NEAR THE NORTHERN BORDER OF ARKANSAS 
THIS MORNING. THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE TODAY THEN BECOME 
STATIONARY. A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS MUCH OF 
OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT AND EFFECTS OF THIS MAY REACH INTO ARKANSAS TODAY.

AS OF EARLY THIS MORNING...NO SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER IS 
EXPECTED IN ARKANSAS TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK
OF SEVERE WEATHER FOR THE EXTREME NORTHERNMOST COUNTIES BUT THE
MAIN SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE PLAINS.

HOWEVER THE PRESENCE OF THE FRONT AND THE HIGHLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE
AIR IN ARKANSAS COULD RESULT IN A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...MOSTLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STRONG WIND GUSTS 
AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS. LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AND SOME FLOODING COULD OCCUR.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE COLD FRONT WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTH OUT OF THE STATE AS A WARM 
FRONT THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL INCREASE ACROSS ARKANSAS
FOR THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL LESSEN THE CHANCE FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER
IN THE STATE...BUT SOME WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS OR BOUNDARIES MAY 
REMAIN. THIS ALONG WITH CONTINUED WARM HUMID AND UNSTABLE AIR WILL 
LEAD TO SMALL CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

ISOLATED STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL AND 
STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE BEST
CHANCE FOR THIS WILL BE DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED 
HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CHANCE PARTS OF THE STATE WILL BE 
AFFECTED BY THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES COMING OUT OF THE PLAINS.
SHOULD THIS OCCUR...STRONG WIND GUSTS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINS WILL BE 
THE MAIN HAZARDOUS WEATHER. ONE SUCH COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS COULD 
AFFECT PARTS OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS ON THURSDAY.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT LIKELY...BUT COULD BE POSSIBLE IN A FEW 
AREAS ANY TIME TODAY OR TONIGHT.

$$

73,
Glenn