[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 061004
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT TUE JUL 6 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-071000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT TUE JUL 6 2004 

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF 
ARKANSAS.

THE FIRST THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FROM MID MORNING INTO
THIS AFTERNOON AS A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS OKLAHOMA 
EARLY THIS MORNING REACHES ARKANSAS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO
WESTERN SECTIONS AT MID TO LATE MORNING AND WILL RAPIDLY MOVE EAST
OR SOUTHEAST ACROSS PARTS OF THE STATE. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
MAIN SEVERE WEATHER. THERE WILL BE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD 
CAUSE SOME SHORT LIVED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND SOME HAIL MAY OCCUR. 

THE SECOND THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FROM LATE THIS 
AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL REACH NORTHERN ARKANSAS
TONIGHT AND WILL MOVE PART WAY INTO THE STATE. THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
DEVELOP ALONG AND A LITTLE BEHIND THE FRONT AND SHOULD MOVE INTO 
NORTHERN ARKANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS MAY EVENTUALLY TURN
INTO ANOTHER COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WHICH COULD MOVE ACROSS THE
REST OF THE STATE DURING THE NIGHT. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE 
THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER AGAIN...BUT THIS TIME THERE IS A BETTER 
CHANCE OF LARGE HAIL. ALSO HEAVY RAIN WILL BE LIKELY AND THIS
COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING IN SOME AREAS.   

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN IN THE AREA WEDNESDAY THEN MAY MOVE NORTH 
OUT OF THE STATE AS A WARM FRONT BY THURSDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE MAY
REMAIN IN THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL REMAIN 
HIGH AND THE AIR WILL REMAIN UNSTABLE. 

ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME 
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THROUGH THE PERIOD. ALSO ISOLATED 
HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CHANCE PARTS OF THE STATE WILL BE 
AFFECTED BY THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES COMING OUT OF THE PLAINS.
SHOULD THIS OCCUR...STRONG WIND GUSTS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINS
WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDOUS WEATHER.  

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS
MORNING AND IN OTHER PARTS OF THE STATE BY THIS AFTERNOON. SPOTTER
ACTIVATION IS LIKELY ANYWHERE IN THE STATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. 

$$

73,
Glenn