[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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FLUS44 KLZK 291818 AAA
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1215 PM CST SUN FEB 29 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- 
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1215 PM CST SUN FEB 29 2004 

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WAS IN WESTERN KANSAS LATE THIS MORNING...WITH 
A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE SYSTEM THROUGH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND 
CENTRAL TEXAS. THE SYSTEM WAS PRODUCING A GUSTY SOUTHEAST WIND 
ACROSS ARKANSAS...WITH A LAKE WIND ADVISORY POSTED THIS AFTERNOON. 
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO NOTED AHEAD OF 
THE FRONT.

THE FRONT WILL HEAD INTO ARKANSAS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. 
AS THE FRONT APPROACHES...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL HAVE DIFFICULTY 
DESTABILIZING. FIRST...A SOUTHEAST WIND WILL HAVE A TENDENCY TO DRAW 
DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR FROM THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES. SECOND...
DAYTIME HEATING WILL BE LIMITED WITH LOTS OF CLOUDS. FINALLY...THE 
MAIN DYNAMICS ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM WILL HEAD INTO AREAS 
NORTH AND WEST OF ARKANSAS. MORE SPECIFICALLY...COLD AIR ALOFT... 
WHICH WOULD TEND TO DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE...WILL NOT BE MUCH OF 
A FACTOR. WITH A LACK OF INSTABILITY...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE 
NOT EXPECTED...AND ANY SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN ISOLATED.
               
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE IN WESTERN ARKANSAS 
THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL PUSH INTO CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE STATE 
LATER THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE EASTERN 
COUNTIES UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE ONE 
QUARTER TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH SOME 
AREAS RECEIVING MORE THAN AN INCH OF RAIN. 

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT JUST TO THE SOUTH OF 
ARKANSAS MONDAY AND TUESDAY...AND THEN RETURN SLOWLY NORTHWARD ON 
WEDNESDAY. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO LINGER OVER THE STATE 
LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL 
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL BE 
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

46






73,
Glenn