[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 282002
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
200 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-291100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- 
WOODRUFF-YELL-
200 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2004 

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. 

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

FOR SUNDAY...A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE REGION FROM 
THE WEST BY LATE AFTERNOON. STRONG UPPER LEVEL ENERGY IS FORECAST TO 
ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT. 

THE LATEST FORECAST PARAMETERS ARE SUPPORTIVE OF THE FORMATION OF A 
SQUALL LINE...WHICH WOULD AFFECT EXTREME WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE 
AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON. OVERALL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ARE 
EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY WEAK WITH THIS STRONG SYSTEM...AND THIS 
FACTOR WOULD HINDER THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL. 

THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED...ACROSS AREAS WEST OF 
A LINE FROM HARRISON...TO RUSSELLVILLE...TO MOUNT IDA...DURING THE 
MID AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING. FORECAST PARAMETERS SUGGEST  
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL...AND BRIEF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WOULD OCCUR 
WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. 

ALSO ON SUNDAY...A SOUTHERLY WIND OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL PREVAIL 
DURING THE DAY. THIS WIND SPEED WILL POSE AN INCREASED DANGER TO 
BOATERS OUT ON AREA LAKES ON SUNDAY. 

THIS COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL JUST SOUTH OF THE REGION...THEN 
WILL RETURN SLOWLY NORTHWARD BY LATE WEDNESDAY. THIS FRONT IS 
EXPECTED TO FOCUS THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY 
THROUGH FRIDAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
HEAVY RAIN. 

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THROUGH TONIGHT. 
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING. 

$$

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73,
Glenn