[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[pbarc@mailman.qth.net]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 041645 AAB
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1045 AM CST WED FEB 4 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-051100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-
POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN 
BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL-
1045 AM CST WED FEB 4 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

LOW PRESSURE OVER WEST TEXAS WILL MOVE TOWARD THE NATURAL STATE THIS 
AFTERNOON. AS THE LOW MOVES EAST IT WILL TAP INTO THE GULF MOISTURE 
AND DRAW IT NORTHWARD. WITH DRY AIR ALOFT...PRECIPITATION WILL HAVE 
A HARD TIME REACHING THE GROUND AT FIRST. DUE TO THIS...COOLING OF 
THE AIR ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL TAKE PLACE...LEADING TO THE FORMATION 
OF SLEET IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON.

AS THE AREA OF PRECIPITATION MOVES EAST...IT WILL ENCOUNTER COLDER 
AIR AT THE SURFACE. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF A MIXTURE OF FREEZING 
RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW ACROSS NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS 
TONIGHT. AS SUCH...A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FOR TONIGHT 
FOR BAXTER...BOONE...FULTON... MARION...NEWTON AND SEARCY COUNTIES.

FARTHER SOUTH...A RAIN EVENT IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH ISOLATED 
THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN MAY BE MIXED WITH SLEET INITIALLY AS MOISTURE 
ENCOUNTERS THE DRY AIR ALOFT.    

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ON THURSDAY...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE IN THE 
EXTREME NORTH...WHILE RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE 
IN THE SOUTH. HOWEVER...PRECIPITATION WILL DECREASE DURING THE DAY. 
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...COLDER AIR WILL SPILL BACK INTO THE 
REGION AND THERE WILL BE A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW OVER THE AREA. 
HOWEVER...BY THEN...MOISTURE WILL BE SPARSE SO ANY PRECIPITATION 
AMOUNTS WILL BE SMALL.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND DECREASE CLOUD 
COVER. THIS HIGH WILL ALSO KEEP DRY WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE 
WEEKEND. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL ENTER THE STATE MONDAY AFTERNOON... 
BRINGING A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW TO THE NORTH...AND A CHANCE OF 
RAIN IN THE SOUTH. TUESDAY WILL BE DRY.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

$$

58


73,
Glenn