[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 310934
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST FRI DEC 31 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011100-
BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-
DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-
IZARD-JACKSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-MARION-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-
OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-
VAN BUREN-WHITE-YELL-ARKANSAS-JEFFERSON-LONOKE-MONROE-PRAIRIE-
PULASKI-WOODRUFF-
500 AM CST FRI DEC 31 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST FOR MUCH OF THE
DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN PERIOD. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR ABUNDANT MOISTURE
TO CONTINUE STREAMING UP OVER ARKANSAS. A LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE UPPER LEVELS WILL BE PERSISTENT OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES. THE RIDGE WILL ACT AS A BLOCKING MECHANISM FOR ANY
FORWARD MOVING SURFACE SYSTEMS.

SEVERAL COLD FRONTS WILL ATTEMPT TO MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS DURING
THIS PERIOD...BUT WILL STALL OUT AND MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH AS
WARM FRONTS. AT THIS TIME...THIS LOOKS TO BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
NIGHT...AND AGAIN ON MONDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT STALLS
AGAINST THE RIDGE. DURING THIS SAME TIME...SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL
SYSTEMS WILL MOVE UP ACROSS ARKANSAS FROM THE SOUTHWEST...
INTERACTING WITH THE BOUNDARIES.

WITH THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE IN PLACE...AND SLOW-MOVING OR STALLED
BOUNDARIES PRESENT...HEAVY RAINFALL IS A POSSIBILITY. ONE TO TWO
INCH AMOUNTS COULD OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER RAIN.

AT THIS TIME...THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL APPEARS
TO BE OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF ARKANSAS...WEST OF A LINE FROM
ARKADELPHIA...TO NEWPORT. THE RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY COME TO AN END
ON WEDNESDAY...AS THE UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN AND ALLOWS A COLD FRONT
TO PUSH THROUGH THE STATE.

THIS FAR OUT...TIMING IS ALWAYS A CONCERN. MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR ANY
CHANGES IN THE FORECAST...AND FOR UPDATES.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

73,
Glenn