[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[egwolfjr at email.com]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 192136 CCA
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
430 PM CDT THU AUG 19 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-201000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
430 PM CDT THU AUG 19 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PRESS DOWN FROM THE NORTH AND WILL ENTER 
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. MEANWHILE...A STRONG 
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND 
INTERACT WITH THE FRONT CAUSING LOW PRESSURE ON THE SURFACE TO SPIN 
UP. THE LOW WILL TRAVEL THROUGH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND INTO CENTRAL 
MISSOURI.

PLENTY OF MOISTURE WILL BE PULLED INTO THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM WITH A 
GENERAL RAINFALL LIKELY STATEWIDE. RAIN WILL BECOME HEAVIER AND 
MORE WIDESPREAD AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. AN AVERAGE RAINFALL OF ONE 
HALF TO ONE INCH CAN BE EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THE AREA TONIGHT WITH 
AS MUCH AS TWO INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH IN THE VICINITY OF 
THE SURFACE LOW. THERE MAY BE POCKETS OF HEAVIER RAIN BUT FLASH 
FLOODING IS NOT A MAJOR CONCERN DUE TO THE DRY WEATHER EXPERIENCED 
AS OF LATE. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS ALSO NOT ANTICIPATED 
ALTHOUGH A FEW STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ARE POSSIBLE 
ESPECIALLY IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD ON FRIDAY BUT WITH NO REAL 
PUSH OF COOL AIR BEHIND IT...IT WILL BE SLOW TO CLEAR THE STATE AND 
LIKELY WILL NOT DO SO UNTIL SATURDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
CONTINUE MOST OF FRIDAY BUT SLOWLY TAPER OFF FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AS 
THE DAY PROGRESSES AS THE SURFACE PULLS OUT TO THE NORTH. ISOLATED 
STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO BRIEFLY SEVERE ON FRIDAY.

THE FRONT WILL SETTLE TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE OVER THE WEEKEND AND 
BECOME STATIONARY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE 
POSSIBLE ANYTIME THROUGH THE THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH THE BEST 
CHANCES OVER THE SOUTH IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT. THERE IS CHANCE 
OF MORE WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANT RAIN SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT 
BUT IT IS NOT CLEAR AT THIS TIME IF THIS STORM WILL DEVELOP. 

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

73,
Glenn