[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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FLUS44 KLZK 230125 AAA
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
825 PM CDT THU APR 22 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-231000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
825 PM CDT THU APR 22 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE 
NORTHERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT.  

LOW PRESSURE ALOFT WILL AFFECT ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT. THE STORM SYSTEM 
WILL INTERACT WITH A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER NORTHERN 
ARKANSAS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP 
THURSDAY EVENING...MAINLY OVER THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL SECTIONS. 
SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR OVER THE NORTH WITH ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS 
POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL ARKANSAS. THE MAIN THREATS OVER THE NORTH WILL 
BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES. OVER CENTRAL 
ARKANSAS...THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING 
WINDS.  

AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES...THE SEVERE WEATHER EVENT WILL GRADUALLY 
EVOLVE INTO MORE OF A HEAVY RAIN EVENT. PRECIPITATION WILL TEND TO 
FOCUS ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN 
WILL BE COMMON...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP TONIGHT WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH FRIDAY 
MORNING. THERE WILL BE A LULL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH MORE STORMS IN 
THE FORECAST FRIDAY NIGHT. 

THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL NOT CHANGE THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. A 
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN STALLED ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS. GIVEN 
THIS...STORMS THAT DEVELOP THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WILL BE MOST 
LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. 

SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY...WITH AREAS OF HEAVY TO 
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. FLASH FLOODING MAY OCCUR IN SOME AREAS. 

THE PATTERN WILL FINALLY CHANGE THIS WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH 
THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE WEST SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...WITH 
COOLER AND DRIER AIR EXPECTED TO FOLLOW BY MONDAY.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE REQUIRED TONIGHT OVER PARTS OF NORTHERN 
ARKANSAS. 

$$

22




73,
Glenn