[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[pbarc@mailman.qth.net]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 220252
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
950 PM CDT WED APR 21 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-221000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
950 PM CDT WED APR 21 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...WILL 
CONTINUE OVER THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT. A 
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL ARKANSAS WILL ACT AS A 
FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT. WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN 
THE AREA...HEAVY RAINFALL IS A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN 
ARKANSAS. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN MAY OCCUR...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER 
AMOUNTS. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BUT 
WILL DIMINISH IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE ISOLATED WITH LESS 
OF A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN. HOWEVER...ISOLATED 
SEVERE STORMS MAY STILL OCCUR...WITH MAINLY LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

STORMS THAT DEVELOP TONIGHT WILL EXIT THE STATE INTO MISSOURI 
THURSDAY MORNING. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER LULL THURSDAY 
AFTERNOON...WITH MORE STORMS IN THE FORECAST THURSDAY NIGHT. 

THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL NOT CHANGE THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. A 
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN STALLED ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS. GIVEN 
THIS...STORMS THAT DEVELOP THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WILL BE MOST 
LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. 

THE STORMS THAT ARE EXPECTED WILL OCCUR MAINLY AT NIGHT...WITH 
STORMS MENTIONED THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT. SEVERE WEATHER 
WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY...WITH AREAS OF HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE 
RAINFALL. FLASH FLOODING MAY OCCUR IN SOME LOCALES. 

THE PATTERN WILL FINALLY CHANGE THIS WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH 
THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE WEST SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...WITH 
COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO FOLLOW MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THROUGH MIDNIGHT IN 
NORTHERN AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.

$$

58


73,
Glenn