[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 100936 AAB
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-111000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT SAT APR 10 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE NATIONS MID SECTION WILL 
CONTINUE TO DEEPEN DURING THE DAY...KEEPING A CONTINUOUS FLOW OF 
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. MEANWHILE...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED 
ALONG THE ARKANSAS AND LOUISIANA BORDER WILL REMAIN NEARLY 
STATIONARY TODAY BEFORE STARTING TO SAG SOUTHWARD TONIGHT. AS THE 
TROUGH DEEPENS...IT WILL EJECT PIECES OF ENERGY THAT WILL RIPPLE 
ALONG THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY. THE STRONGEST OF THESE WILL 
DISTURBANCES WILL GENERATE AN AREA OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE ON THE 
SURFACE. AS A RESULT...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUING CHANCE OF SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY.

VERY WARM AND MOIST AIR IS EVIDENT TO THE SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY SO 
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCES OF SEEING HEAVY RAIN 
ALTHOUGH ANY PLACE IN THE STATE IS SUSCEPTIBLE TO IT. SOME OF THE 
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP MAY BECOME SEVERE. AGAIN THE BEST 
CHANCES WILL BE OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF 
THE BOUNDARY WITH LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN CONCERN. THE CHANCES OF 
SEVERE WEATHER DECREASE DRAMATICALLY TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT.  

A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IN THE GREAT LAKES STATES WILL BEGIN 
TO MOVE SOUTHWARD TONIGHT. THIS WILL HELP PUSH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY 
TO THE SOUTH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE 
ACROSS THE STATE AS FRONT IS PUSHED OUT AND THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
MOVES OUT.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

A FEW SHOWERS WILL REMAIN OVER EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS 
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AS THE ENTIRE WEATHER SYSTEM SHIFTS EASTWARD.
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE STATE. ONE MORE 
STRONGER DISTURBANCE WILL EJECT OUT OF THE TROUGH ON MONDAY AND PASS 
JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE. THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NATURAL STATE ONCE AGAIN.

COOLER AIR IS FORECAST TO OVERSPREAD ARKANSAS EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE 
NORTHERN AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE STATE COULD EXPERIENCE LOW 
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER AND MID 30S BOTH ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY 
MORNINGS. TUESDAY APPEARS TO BE THE COOLEST OF THE TWO MORNINGS.
PERSONS WITH TENDER OUTDOOR VEGETATION SHOULD MONITOR LATER 
FORECASTS OVER THE WEEKEND FOR FURTHER UPDATES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL 
THEN BUILD IN MID WEEK FOR A RETURN TO MILD AND DRY CONDITIONS.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY FOR SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. 

$$

56


73,
Glenn