[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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FLUS44 KLZK 090926 AAA
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT THU APR 8 2004

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-101000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT THU APR 8 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. 

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL SLIDE EASTWARD 
TODAY AND MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI THIS 
EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE 
AFTERNOON AS THE SYSTEM NEARS. THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE 
ARE EXPECTED TO BE QUITE DRY INITIALLY SO PRECIPITATION WILL TAKE 
SOME TIME TO REACH THE GROUND WITH THE MAJORITY OF IT HOLDING OFF 
UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY 
TONIGHT AS THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY MOIST BY THIS TIME 
AND THE BEST DYNAMICS COME INTO PLAY.

THE POSSIBILITY OF ANY OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING SEVERE IS 
SMALL WITH THE BEST CHANCES OVER THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE STATE. THE 
PRIMARY THREAT WITH ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WOULD BE LARGE HAIL.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN TO THE WEST OF THE AREA 
SATURDAY WITH BROAD SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUING. A SERIES OF WEAK 
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL EJECT FROM THIS TROUGH AND TRAVERSE 
THROUGH THE AREA. THE STRONGEST WILL GENERATE A WEAK SURFACE LOW 
WHICH WILL TRAVEL ALONG THE WEAK COLD FRONT SITTING ALONG THE 
ARKANSAS AND LOUISIANA BORDER. SHOWERS AND MAYBE A THUNDERSTORMS 
WILL BE OCCURRING SATURDAY MORNING WITH THE PRECIPITATION SLOWLY 
DECREASING DURING THE DAY. 

ONCE THIS LOW PASSES...COOLER AIR IS FORECAST TO OVERSPREAD ARKANSAS 
EARLY NEXT WEEK. NORTHERN AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE STATE COULD 
EXPERIENCE LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER AND MID 30S BOTH ON MONDAY 
AND TUESDAY MORNING. PERSONS WITH TENDER OUTDOOR VEGETATION SHOULD 
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS OVER THE WEEKEND FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

56


73,
Glenn