[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[pbarc@mailman.qth.net]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 180800 AAC
HWOLIT
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-181100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
155 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MOVED FROM WESTERN INTO 
CENTRAL ARKANSAS DURING MONDAY EVENING...AND WILL CONTINUE HEADING 
INTO EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE THROUGH DAWN TUESDAY. FOR THE 
MOST PART...IT HAS BEEN A HEAVY RAIN EVENT...WITH THREE TO FOUR 
INCHES OF PRECIPITATION IN SOME AREAS WEST OF LITTLE ROCK. 

THE RAINFALL IN ARKANSAS WAS AHEAD OF A STORM SYSTEM TO THE WEST. 
INSTABILITY SURROUNDING THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RATHER LOW...WITH 
THUNDERSTORMS HAVING DIFFICULTY DEVELOPING. HOWEVER...THERE IS A 
LOT OF WIND ENERGY ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM. SOME OF THIS 
ENERGY IS CREATING AREAS OF ROTATION IN DEVELOPING STORMS.

FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT...THESE AREAS OF ROTATION WILL BE NOTED IN 
ABOUT THE EASTERN HALF OF ARKANSAS. THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE THAT 
ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY FORM. GIVEN THIS...A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN 
POSTED FOR EASTERN ARKANSAS UNTIL 8 AM. 

OTHERWISE...THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WILL SHIFT INTO EASTERN 
ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT BEFORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ENDS TUESDAY 
MORNING. 

PEOPLE ACROSS ARKANSAS ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE MONITORING THE 
WEATHER OVERNIGHT. LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS FOR THE 
MOST UP TO DATE INFORMATION FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. 

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE SYSTEM TO THE WEST WILL MOVE OVER ARKANSAS ON TUESDAY. THE 
SYSTEM WILL BRING PROGRESSIVELY COLDER AIR ALOFT. THIS WILL MOVE 
OVER WARMER CONDITIONS NEAR THE GROUND...WITH THE ATMOSPHERE 
DESTABILIZING. AFTER WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION EXITS TO THE EAST 
TUESDAY MORNING...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COULD REDEVELOP DURING 
THE AFTERNOON.

IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SOME OF THE STORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON COULD 
BECOME SEVERE. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER 
THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL.  

THE ENTIRE WEATHER SYSTEM WILL PUSH EAST OF ARKANSAS BY WEDNESDAY 
WITH HIGH PRESSURE FORECAST TO PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY. ANOTHER 
SYSTEM WILL BRING THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN BY THE WEEKEND.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION DOES NOT APPEAR NECESSARY OVERNIGHT...BUT MAY 
BE REQUIRED TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

$$

46






73,
Glenn