[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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FLUS44 KLZK 141806 AAA
HWOLIT
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-151100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1155 AM CST FRI NOV 14 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LIGHT RAIN WILL BE NOTED ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS TODAY...GENERALLY
IN AREAS NORTH OF WALDRON...CONWAY AND AUGUSTA. THE RAIN WILL 
CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTH BEFORE SHIFTING SOUTHWARD INTO 
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE STATE TOWARD SATURDAY MORNING.  

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ACROSS ARKANSAS 
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT BEFORE STALLING OUT JUST SOUTH OF THE 
STATE. THE FRONT WILL PUSH RAIN FROM CENTRAL INTO SOUTHERN 
ARKANSAS...AND EVENTUALLY INTO AREAS ALONG THE GULF COAST. 

THE BOUNDARY WILL LIFT BACK NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT 
AND MONDAY IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHERN 
PLAINS. MOISTURE WILL SURGE BACK INTO ARKANSAS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH 
INCREASING RAIN CHANCES.

WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY 
NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES...WITH 
EXCESSIVE RAIN POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. 

IT APPEARS THAT RAIN MAY TAPER OFF BRIEFLY DURING MONDAY AFTERNOON. 
AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE STATE...ABOVE NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES WILL BE LEFT BEHIND. THIS ALONG WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE 
WILL MAKE THE ATMOSPHERE UNSTABLE. 

THE STORM SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT 
THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...WITH SCATTERED 
THUNDERSTORMS REDEVELOPING. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE. 

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 
HOWEVER...SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY ON MONDAY.

$$

46




73,
Glenn