[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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FLUS44 KLZK 041853
HWOLIT
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-051000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
151 PM CDT SUN MAY 4 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WARM FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS CONTINUED TO MOVE NORTH THIS 
AFTERNOON. BEHIND THE FRONT...WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR WAS 
NOTED ACROSS THE REGION. MEANWHILE...A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WAS IN 
NORTH KANSAS WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. AS 
THE FRONT APPROACHES LATER TODAY...IT WILL MOVE INTO THE UNSTABLE 
ATMOSPHERE WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING. 

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN FORMING IN WESTERN 
ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL PUSH ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH THE 
OVERNIGHT HOURS. IT APPEARS THAT SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LIKELY. 

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER 
THREATS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...THE WINDS WILL BE 
CHANGING WITH HEIGHT...WITH A SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND NEAR THE 
GROUND AND A WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND ALOFT. THIS WILL CREATE A 
TURNING MOTION IN THE ATMOSPHERE...WITH TORNADOES POSSIBLE IN SOME 
STORMS. 

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY 

THE COLD FRONT IN THE PLAINS WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS. 
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM AROUND MOUNTAIN 
HOME TO TEXARKANA. AFTER SOME LEFTOVER MORNING PRECIPITATION... 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON ACROSS 
MAINLY THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE. SEVERE WEATHER IS AGAIN 
POSSIBLE. 

THE FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING 
WEEK. SEVERAL SYSTEMS FROM THE PLAINS WILL INTERACT WITH THE FRONT 
TO TRIGGER A FEW ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT 
LEAST THURSDAY.      

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF ARKANSAS TODAY...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.   

$$

51


73,
Glenn