[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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FLUS44 KLZK 020545
HWOLIT
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-021000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1244 AM CDT MON JUN 2 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER OKLAHOMA IS FORECAST TO MOVE 
EAST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED 
TO DEVELOP TONIGHT OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MERGE INTO A 
LARGE COMPLEX. THIS COMPLEX OF STORMS WILL THEN MOVE EAST THROUGH 
ARKANSAS TONIGHT. 

MEANWHILE...THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY 
WILL START TO ADVANCE BACK TOWARDS THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. LOW
PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS BY MORNING 
RIGHT ALONG THIS FRONT. THIS WILL PULL VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR 
BACK INTO THE NATURAL STATE.

THE COMPLEX OF STORMS AND THE FRONT WILL ACT IN TANDEM TO PRODUCE 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS A 
POSSIBILITY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. IN ADDITION TO THE 
HEAVY RAIN...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS COMPLEX OF 
STORMS AS THE MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR WILL BE AIDED BY STRONG WINDS 
ALOFT. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND 
DAMAGING WINDS. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS DO NOT FAVOR TORNADOS AT THIS 
TIME.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON GOING MONDAY MORNING AS THE 
COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WORKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE STATE. 
THE POSSIBILITY OF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG TO SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONTINUING UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON. AT THAT TIME 
..THE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF AND THE POSSIBILITY OF 
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ENDING ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. THE EXCEPTION 
WILL BE OVER THE SOUTH WHERE THE RAIN WILL HOLD ON A LITTLE LONGER 
AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN ON WEDNESDAY AS A STRONG UPPER 
LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES. THE BEST CHANCES OF SEEING HEAVY RAIN 
THIS TIME WILL BE OVER THE NORTH. 

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING.

$$

56




73,
Glenn