[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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FLUS44 KLZK 131923 AAA
HWOLIT
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-141000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
223 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF 
ARKANSAS THROUGH TONIGHT. A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEAR THE 
ARKANSAS AND MISSOURI BORDER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH THIS 
AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...A NORTHWEST WIND ALOFT WILL DRIVE WEAK 
SYSTEMS TOWARD THE REGION FROM THE PLAINS. THE SYSTEMS WILL INTERACT 
WITH THE FRONT...RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS 
OVER ARKANSAS. 

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO FORM THIS AFTERNOON AND 
TONIGHT. SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH THE MAIN 
THREATS BEING LARGE HAIL AND STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS. 

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...THERE IS ALSO THE 
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. MOISTURE LEVELS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY 
INCREASING IN THE ATMOSPHERE...WHICH WILL MAKE STORMS MORE EFFICIENT 
RAIN PRODUCERS.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION 
DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK. THIS WILL CUTOFF THE NORTHWEST WIND ALOFT 
AND WILL ALSO CAP THE ATMOSPHERE. THE CAPPING WILL TEND TO LIMIT 
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. GIVEN THIS...IT APPEARS THE WEATHER IN 
ARKANSAS WILL SETTLE INTO A MORE TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN. THERE 
WILL BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MOSTLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF 
ARKANSAS...AFFECTING THE SOUTH TEXAS COAST OR NORTHERN MEXICO.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THROUGH TONIGHT OVER THE REGION.

$$

44


73,
Glenn