[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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FLUS44 KLZK 121009
HWOLIT
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-131000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT SAT JUL 12 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN 
ARKANSAS TODAY...AND INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND 
TONIGHT. EARLY THIS MORNING...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COVERED 
ABOUT THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE...WITH A GENERAL WEAKENING 
TREND EXPECTED THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. DURING THE AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ALONG A FRONTAL 
BOUNDARY NEAR THE ARKANSAS AND MISSOURI BORDER.
 
NEW STORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WILL INITIALLY AFFECT THE 
NORTHERN COUNTIES ONLY. IT APPEARS THAT SOME OF THE STORMS MAY 
BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. 
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AS STORMS BECOME A LITTLE MORE 
WIDESPREAD...A POOL OF COOLER AIR BEHIND THE STORMS WILL FORCE THE 
STORMS FARTHER SOUTH INTO CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE STATE. AS THE 
STORMS HEAD SOUTH...THEY MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS. 

IN ADDITION TO SEVERE WEATHER...STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. THIS IS MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR NEAR THE 
FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN NORTHERN ARKANSAS WHERE STORMS REGENERATE AND 
MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS 
ON SUNDAY. STORMS THAT PUSH INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS TONIGHT WILL 
CONTINUE HEADING INTO SOUTHERN ARKANSAS DURING THE MORNING HOURS ON 
SUNDAY. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...WITH 
LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE AS WELL.

LOOKING AHEAD TO NEXT WEEK...IT APPEARS THE WEATHER IN ARKANSAS WILL 
SETTLE INTO A MORE TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN. THERE WILL BE 
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MOSTLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL 
SOUTH OF ARKANSAS...AFFECTING THE SOUTH TEXAS COAST OR NORTHERN 
MEXICO.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS 
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

46




73,
Glenn