[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 280953
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2003

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-291100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-
POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-
VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE TODAY AND TONIGHT BUT WILL 
DO SO AT A SNAILS PACE. THE FRONT IS CURRENTLY STRETCHED ALONG THE 
ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA BORDER AND IS NOT FORECAST TO REACH THE 
MISSISSIPPI RIVER UNTIL ABOUT SUNRISE MONDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS IN 
ADVANCE OF THE APPROACHING FRONT WILL DRAW COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF GULF 
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS MORNING WILL SPREAD 
EASTWARD AND TURN INTO STEADY RAIN BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SURFACE LOW 
PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST 
TO ENHANCE THE RAINFALL EVEN MORE. WITH THE FRONT BEING SUCH A SLOW 
MOVER... PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST MOST OF THE NIGHT. 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF AN INCH ARE LIKELY ACROSS A LARGE 
SWATH OF THE STATE. LOCALIZED AREAS MAY SEE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS IN 
EXCESS OF AN INCH AND A HALF OR MORE

THE AIR WILL REMAIN TOO STABLE FOR WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS TO 
DEVELOP BUT ISOLATED ACTIVITY CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. THE THREAT OF 
SEVERE WEATHER IS VERY SMALL WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY  

THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE STATE EARLY MONDAY BUT RAIN 
IS STILL POSSIBLE UNTIL THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CLEARS THE STATE. RAIN 
IS A VERY GOOD POSSIBILITY OVER MOST OF THE STATE MONDAY MORNING 
WITH THE PRECIPITATION MOVING EAST DURING THE DAY. THE RAIN SHOULD 
END AROUND MIDDAY OVER THE CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE STATE BUT 
CONTINUE OVER THE EAST FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE DAY. THE 
PRECIPITATION BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE JUST RAIN WITH LITTLE IF ANY 
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OR WINTER WEATHER.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY AND 
THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SOMEWHAT AS IT EJECTS 
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES. THE DECAYING SYSTEM WILL HAVE 
ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE TO WORK WITH BUT ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

$$

56


73,
Glenn