[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:16:46 -0600


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FLUS44 KLZK 092015 AAB
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
210 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2003

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-101100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-
POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-
VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL-
210 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STORM SYSTEM WAS LOCATED IN EXTREME NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS 
AFTERNOON. THE SYSTEM WILL CLIP NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BEFORE HEADING 
INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI BY THIS EVENING. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES 
NORTHEAST...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. THE FRONT 
WAS JUST ABOUT TO ENTER ARKANSAS FROM THE WEST AT 2 PM. SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS WERE WIDESPREAD AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND COVERED ABOUT 
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE STATE.

THE STORMS WERE HAVING DIFFICULTY INTENSIFYING EARLY THIS 
AFTERNOON. THIS WAS DUE TO A LACK OF INSTABILITY. CLOUDS WERE 
HOLDING TEMPERATURES DOWN...WITH READINGS IN MOST AREAS ONLY IN THE 
MID 50S TO MID 60S AS OF 2 PM. HOWEVER...READINGS HAD JUMPED INTO 
THE LOWER 70S IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. TEMPERATURES AND MOISTURE 
LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHER 
INSTABILITY RESULTING. STORMS THAT DEVELOP MAY BECOME SEVERE.

AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS LIKE SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE MOST LIKELY 
ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...OR IN AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF EL 
DORADO...PINE BLUFF AND WEST MEMPHIS. IN THESE AREAS...THE MAIN 
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES 
POSSIBLE. FARTHER NORTH...SHOULD STORMS BECOME SEVERE...THERE MAY BE 
LARGE HAIL PRODUCED. IT APPEARS THAT ANY SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN 
ISOLATED.        

PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN WIDESPREAD DURING THE AFTERNOON 
HOURS...MAINLY FROM CENTRAL INTO EASTERN ARKANSAS. PRECIPITATION 
INTENSITY SHOULD PICK UP AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE STATE AND 
ENCOUNTERS MORE UNSTABLE AIR. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO 
BE GREATEST FROM LITTLE ROCK EASTWARD...WHERE SOME AREAS COULD PICK 
UP OVER AN INCH OF RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT. 

BEHIND THE FRONT...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST WITH MUCH 
COLDER AIR EXPECTED TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE LEFTOVER PRECIPITATION AS 
THE COLDER AIR ARRIVES...AND RAIN MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW 
TOWARD WEDNESDAY MORNING IN EXTREME NORTHERN ARKANSAS. LITTLE IF ANY 
SNOW ACCUMULATION IS IN THE FORECAST.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BEHIND THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT ON 
WEDNESDAY AND DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH COOL AND 
DRY CONDITIONS.

THE HIGH WILL DEPART TO THE EAST THIS WEEKEND...WITH ANOTHER STORM 
SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE SYSTEM WILL BRING A 
CHANCE OF RAIN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WITH ANY SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED TO REMAIN ISOLATED INTO THIS 
EVENING...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. 

$$

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73,
Glenn