[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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FLUS44 KLZK 161710
HWOLIT
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-171000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1210 PM CDT WED APR 16 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN ABOUT THE EASTERN 
HALF OF ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS INCLUDES AREAS 
EAST OF YELLVILLE...LITTLE ROCK AND WARREN. 

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM EASTERN KANSAS INTO WESTERN 
MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...A GUSTY SOUTH TO 
SOUTHWEST WIND IS EXPECTED. THE STORM SYSTEM WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT 
INTO THE STATE...WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF 
THE FRONT. 

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN DEVELOPING 
CLOSE TO THE ARKANSAS AND MISSOURI BORDER EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE 
DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST AS THE AFTERNOON 
PROGRESSES...WITH A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE BY THIS EVENING 
AS THE FRONT NEARS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. 

SOME OF THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY 
BECOME SEVERE. THERE IS A LOT OF WIND ENERGY AVAILABLE...SO DAMAGING 
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. ALSO...THE STORM SYSTEM TO THE NORTH WILL 
PROVIDE COLD AIR ALOFT...INCREASING THE LIKELIHOOD FOR LARGE HAIL.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

AFTER THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THIS EVENING...HIGH PRESSURE WILL 
SETTLE INTO ARKANSAS. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF TRANQUIL 
WEATHER ON THURSDAY BEFORE THE HIGH HEADS TO THE EAST. AFTER THE 
HIGH DEPARTS...MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY OUT AHEAD OF ANOTHER 
DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM IN THE PLAINS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
WILL BE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY...AND WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY. 
A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE.  

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

IN THE LITTLE ROCK COUNTY WARNING AREA...WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER 
IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH THIS EVENING. THEREFORE...SPOTTER 
ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

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73,
Glenn