[OkHam] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[Lloyd Colston]

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY TONIGHT...
 
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON
OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY FORM A
LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE EVENING HOURS...SWEEPING
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT.  THE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA BY LATE
EVENING...PUSHING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA BY MID MORNING
SUNDAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE SEVERE...PRODUCING VERY
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH AND WEST OF A
TULSA...MUSKOGEE...HUGO LINE.  HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE
THUNDERSTORMS.  WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF AROUND AN INCH ARE
LIKELY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WARNING PROBABILITIES CAN BE FOUND IN
THE "OUTLOOK SECTION" AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA. GIVEN PROBABILITIES
REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT YOUR LOCATION.
 
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUN THROUGH FRI
THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY AS THE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE WARM
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
ALLOWING WARM AND MOIST AIR TO MOVE INTO THE REGION IN ADVANCE
OF A DRYLINE AND TRAILING COLD FRONT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE DRYLINE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY
AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING INTO ARKANSAS. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE
PRIMARY THREAT. A FEW SUPERCELLS COULD ALSO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS WITH THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES.
 
.SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING. EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.
 


Lloyd Colston             Mayes County Emergency Management
Pryor, OK USA           http://www.geocities.com/mccem
        Don't let Yesterday take up too much of Today.