[MTHOLLYSVRWX] PHI Hazardous Weather Outlook 04:46:15.9591

[svrwx]

FLUS41 KPHI 010945
HWOPHI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
445 AM EST MON FEB 1 2016

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>019-PAZ054-055-060>062-
070-071-101>106-020945-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
445 AM EST MON FEB 1 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND ACCELERATING SNOWMELT WILL
PROBABLY RESULT IN SCATTERED MINOR TO POSSIBLY MODERATE SMALL STREAM
FLOODING AND AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING WEDNESDAY.
THIS WOULD BE ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR,
WHERE THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF 1 INCH OF RAIN OCCURRING IN 6
HOURS. THIS RAINFALL, IF IT OCCURS, WOULD BE IN ADDITION TO NEAR
RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES RAPIDLY MELTING MUCH OF THE REMAINING
SNOW PACK WHICH CONTAINS ITS OWN SIGNIFICANT WATER EQUIVALENT.

DENSE FOG MAY PRECEDE THE RECORD WARMTH DURING WEDNESDAY MORNING
AND MIDDAY.

IN NEW JERSEY...THE MILLSTONE AND RARITAN RIVER BASINS ARE QUITE
VULNERABLE TO FLOODING AS ARE MANY SMALLER BASINS BETWEEN INTERSTATES
80 AND 195.

IN PENNSYLVANIA AND DELAWARE...THE SCHUYLKILL, AS WELL AS THE
NESHAMINY CREEK, PERKIOMEN CREEK, BRANDYWINE CREEK, CHESTER CREEK
AND CHRISTINA RIVER IN NORTHERN DELAWARE ALL HAVE OPPORTUNITY FOR
COMBINED SNOWMELT RAINFALL RUNOFF FLOODING WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

IF THIS RUNOFF FLOODING DEVELOPS CLOSE TO THE MODELED OUTCOMES,
IT COULD LAST INTO LATE THURSDAY IN A FEW SPOTS. THE PRIMARY
FLOOD THREAT HOWEVER IS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

IF THIS UNFOLDING SCENARIO DESCRIBED ABOVE CONTINUES ON THE CURRENT
FORECAST TRACK, A FLOOD WATCH WOULD BE ISSUED EITHER AT 330 PM THIS
AFTERNOON OR 330 AM TOMORROW FOR THE I-95 REGION NORTHWEST TO THE
INTERSTATE 78 CORRIDOR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

DEZ002>004-MDZ015-019-020-NJZ014-020>027-020945-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
445 AM EST MON FEB 1 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF BRIEF HEAVY SHOWERS AND REMAINING SNOWMELT MAY
CAUSE ISOLATED POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

ANZ430-431-450>455-020945-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
445 AM EST MON FEB 1 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE MAY BE A SHORT PERIOD OF GALE FORCE SOUTHERLY GUSTS TO 35
KNOTS ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$


---
This email has been checked for viruses by Avast antivirus software.
https://www.avast.com/antivirus